俄乌战事恐使今年全球贸易增长几近减半

The ongoing conflict between Russia and Ukraine has dealt a severe blow to the global economy, reducing forecast global trade growth for 2022 from the 4.7 percent predicted last October to between 2.4 percent and 3 percent. The projection, based on a global economic simulation model, was made by the World Trade Organization (WTO) Secretariat in a note issued on Monday.

当地时间4月11日，世贸组织秘书处在一份报告中表示，通过一个全球经济模拟模型预测，俄乌冲突对全球经济造成严重负面影响，可能导致今年全球贸易增速降至2.4%到3%之间，而去年10月该组织预测今年全球贸易增速可达4.7%。

According to the same model, the crisis could lower global GDP growth by 0.7-1.3 percentage points, bringing it to somewhere between 3.1 percent and 3.7 percent for 2022.
报告还预测，根据同一模型，俄乌冲突将使今年全球经济增速下降0.7到1.3个百分点，降至3.1%到3.7%之间。

The conflict has pushed up food and energy prices, and reduced the availability of goods exported by Russia and Ukraine, said the Secretariat note.
报告认为，俄乌冲突推高全球范围内食品和能源价格，并阻碍俄罗斯和乌克兰产品出口。