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5月份,捷克人的信心普遍停滞不前

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2020年05月27日

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Czech confidence broadly stagnated in May

5月份,捷克人的信心普遍停滞不前

Overall confidence in the Czech Republic improved slightly in May in comparison to April, mainly driven by higher consumer confidence but lowered by weaker confidence in the business sphere.

与4月份相比,5月份捷克共和国的总体信心略有改善,这主要是由于消费者信心上升,但商业领域的信心下降。

Households confidence experienced the highest month on month increase, but it was not sufficient to compensate for the massive fall seen in the last two months.

美国家庭信心出现了月度最高增幅,但这不足以弥补过去两个月的大幅下降。

Jakub Seidler

On the other hand, households concerns about price growth reached an all-time high in May, which might be unpleasant for the Czech central bank.

另一方面,家庭对物价上涨的担忧在5月份达到了历史最高水平,这可能会让捷克央行感到不快。

But having said that, the recent price growth was mainly concentrated in food prices.

但话虽如此,最近的价格增长主要集中在食品价格上。

In the business sphere, confidence fall again, mainly driven by the service sector, while industry indicated a very negligible increase.

在商业领域,信心再次下降,主要是受到服务业的推动,而工业的增长微不足道。

However, weaker business confidence was driven down by the assessment of the current situation, while expectations for the next three months improved.

然而,对当前形势的评估降低了企业信心,同时对未来3个月的预期有所改善。

Almost 40% of companies expect to get back to the pre-Covid level in 3-6 month horizon, which seems quite optimistic now, as a 'V shape recovery is becoming a less likely scenario. From this perspective, June and July confidence indicators will be important of the potential recovery shape as May was still affected by movement restrictions, which to a large extent have ended today.

近40%的公司预计在3-6个月内将恢复到以前的水平,这现在看来相当乐观,因为V型复苏的可能性正在降低。从这个角度来看,6月和7月的信心指数将对潜在的复苏形态非常重要,因为5月仍受到移动限制的影响,而移动限制在很大程度上已于今天结束。


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