哈佛研究表明，2022年之前，可能需要继续保持社交距离

哈佛研究表明，2022年之前，可能需要继续保持社交距离

Are you getting accustomed to keeping at least six feet of space between yourself and other people to help stop the spread of coronavirus?

你是否已经习惯于在自己和其他人之间保持至少6英尺的距离，以帮助阻止冠状病毒的传播?

Good. Because you may need to keep doing it, on and off, until 2022.

很好，因为你可能需要时断时续地坚持下去，直到2022年。

At least that’s what some scientists at Harvard University said Tuesday.

至少哈佛大学的一些科学家周二是这么说的。

“Intermittent distancing may be required into 2022 unless critical care capacity is increased substantially or a treatment or vaccine becomes available," the researchers wrote.

研究人员写道: “2022年之前可能需要间歇性隔离，除非重症护理能力大幅提高，或者出现治疗手段或疫苗。”。

A lot also will depend on what happens in the coming months, Bloomberg News reported. For example, will the spread change significantly as the seasons change? And will immunity take hold after people become infected?

据彭博新闻社报道，未来几个月的情况也将决定很多事情。 例如，传播会随着季节的变化而发生显著的变化吗? 人们被感染后，免疫力会起作用吗?

In their study, the Harvard researchers used computer models to predict what’s ahead for COVID-19. One possibility is that aggressive mitigation measures could help stop the spread, as happened with SARS in 2003, the Bloomberg report said.

在他们的研究中，哈佛大学的研究人员使用计算机模型来预测未来几个月新型冠状病毒肺炎将会发生什么。 彭博社报道说，其中一种可能是，积极的缓解措施可以帮助阻止病毒的蔓延，就像2003年发生的非典那样。

But the more likely scenario, they said, is that social distancing will be needed on an intermittent basis, as the virus comes and goes, like the common flu, until a vaccine or other treatment is developed.

但他们说，更可能的情况是，在疫苗或其他治疗方法开发出来之前，需要间歇性地进行社交隔离。

That assessment seemed to align with what Dr. Anthony Fauci, a member of President Trump's Coronavirus Task Force, said earlier this month.

这一评估似乎与特朗普总统冠状病毒工作组成员安东尼 · 福奇(Anthony Fauci)博士本月早些时候所说的一致。

“Unless we get this globally under control there’s a very good chance that it will assume a seasonal nature,” Fauci told CBS’s “Face the Nation” on April 5.

4月5日，福奇在哥伦比亚广播公司的“Face the Nation”节目中说: “除非我们在全球范围内控制住这种情况，否则这种情况很有可能会呈现季节性。”。

That would mean a slower return to “normal” life than many people may have been expecting.

这意味着回归“正常”生活的速度比许多人预期的要慢。