双语新闻：坠机是否会引发伊朗危机

周一，伊朗总统易卜拉欣-莱西和外交部长侯赛因-阿米尔-阿卜杜拉希安在直升机坠毁事件中丧生的消息得到证实，令世界震惊。
 

The crash is not necessarily related to the Israel-Palestine conflict. So far, Iran is attributing it to adverse weather conditions and mechanical failure. The sudden deaths of the president and foreign minister are significant and unexpected events for Iran. In the short term, the country will likely enter a period of national mourning, halting all formal activities, including diplomatic engagements. Iran is expected to declare a state of emergency.

坠机事件不一定与以色列-巴勒斯坦冲突有关。到目前为止，伊朗将其归咎于恶劣的天气条件和机械故障。对伊朗来说，总统和外长的突然死亡是意想不到的重大事件。短期内，伊朗可能将进入全国哀悼期，停止所有正式活动，包括外交活动。预计伊朗将宣布进入紧急状态。

Thereafter, a new presidential candidate will have to be selected. Vice-president Mohammad Mokhbar can step into Raisi's shoes in the interim, but Raisi was seen as a successor to the Supreme Leader. Therefore, Iran must carefully consider who will take Raisi's place in the long run. The country will need to soon decide who will run for the next presidency or the Expediency Discernment Council will choose as a candidate.

此后，必须选出新的总统候选人。副总统穆罕默德-莫赫巴尔可以临时接替莱西的位置，但莱西被视为最高领袖的接班人。因此，伊朗必须慎重考虑从长远来看谁将接替莱西的位置。伊朗需要尽快决定由谁来竞选下届总统，或者由 "远见卓识委员会"（Expediency Discernment Council）来选择候选人。
 

In the immediate aftermath of the deaths of Raisi and Abdollahian, it is unlikely Iran can focus on regional diplomacy. Recent de-escalation talks with the United States might be put on hold. This development can lead to a reduction in Iran's involvement in Middle East affairs. Iran has been a key supporter of the Axis of Resistance, backing groups such as Hamas in Palestine, Hezbollah in Lebanon, the Popular Mobilization Forces in Iraq, and the Houthi movement in Yemen. Given the current situation, Iran may not be able to coordinate the collective actions of the resistance axis effectively. The military implications of this situation will require continued observation.
在拉伊西和阿卜杜拉希安刚刚去世之后，伊朗不太可能专注于地区外交。最近与美国的降级谈判可能会被搁置。这一事态发展可能导致伊朗减少对中东事务的参与。伊朗一直是抵抗轴心的主要支持者，支持的组织包括巴勒斯坦的哈马斯、黎巴嫩的真主党、伊拉克的人民动员部队和也门的胡塞运动。鉴于当前形势，伊朗可能无法有效协调抵抗轴心的集体行动。需要继续观察这一局势的军事影响。