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双语·股票大作手回忆录 第二十二章

所属教程:译林版·股票大作手回忆录

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2022年05月11日

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ONE day Jim Barnes,who not only was one of my principal brokers but an intimate friend as well,called on me.He said he wanted me to do him a great favour.He never before had talked that way,and so I asked him to tell me what the favour was,hoping it was something I could do,for I certainly wished to oblige him.He then told me that his firm was interested in a certain stock;in fact,they had been the principal promoters of the company and had placed the greater part of the stock.Circumstances had arisen that made it imperative for them to market a rather large block.Jim wanted me to undertake to do the marketing for him.The stock was Consolidated Stove.

I did not wish to have anything to do with it for various reasons.But Barnes,to whom I was under some obligations,insisted on the personal-favour phase of the matter,which alone could overcome my objections.He was a good fellow,a friend,and his firm,I gathered,was pretty heavily involved,so in the end I consented to do what I could.

It has always seemed to me that the most picturesque point of difference between the war boom and other booms was the part that was played by a type new in stock-market affairs—the boy banker.

The boom was stupendous and its origins and causes were plainly to be grasped by all.But at the same time the greatest banks and trust companies in the country certainly did all they could to help make millionaires overnight of all sorts and conditions of promoters and munition makers.It got so that all a man had to do was to say that he had a friend who was a friend of a member of one of the Allied commissions and he would be offered all the capital needed to carry out the contracts he had not yet secured.I used to hear incredible stories of clerks becoming presidents of companies doing a business of millions of dollars on money borrowed from trusting trust companies,and of contracts that left a trail of profits as they passed from man to man.A flood of gold was pouring into this country from Europe and the banks had to find ways of impounding it.

The way business was done might have been regarded with misgivings by the old,but there didn't seem to be so many of them about.The fashion for gray-haired presidents of banks was all very well in tranquil times,but youth was the chief qualification in these strenuous times.The banks certainly did make enormous profits.

Jim Barnes and his associates,enjoying the friendship and confidence of the youthful president of the Marshall National Bank,decided to consolidate three well-known stove compames and sell the stock of the new company to the public that for months had been buying any old thing in the way of engraved stock certificates.

One trouble was that the stove business was so prosperous that all three companies were actually earning dividends on their common stock for the first time in their history.Their principal stockholders did not wish to part with the control.There was a good market for their stocks on the Curb;and they had sold as much as they cared to part with and they were content with things as they were.Their individual capitalisation was too small to justify big market movements,and that is where Jim Barnes' firm came in.It pointed out that the consolidated company must be big enough to list on the Stock Exchange,where the new shares could be made more valuable than the old ones.It is an old device in Wall Street—to change the colour of the certificates in order to make them more valuable.Say a stock ceases to be easily vendible at par.Well,sometimes by quadrupling the stock you may make the new shares sell at 30 or 35.This is equivalent to 120 or 140 for the old stock—a figure it never could have reached.

It seems that Barnes and his associates succeeded in inducing some of their friends who held speculatively some blocks of Gray Stove Company—a large concern—to come into the consolidation on the basis of four shares of Consolidated for each share of Gray.Then the Midland and the Western followed their big sister and came in on the basis of share for share.Theirs had been quoted on the Curb at around 25 to 30,and the Gray,which was better known and paid dividends,hung around 125.

In order to raise the money to buy out those holders who insisted upon selling for cash,and also to provide additional working capital for improvements and promotion expenses,it became necessary to raise a few millions.So Barnes saw the president of his bank,who kindly lent his syndicate three million five hundred thousand dollars.The collateral was one hundred thousand shares of the newly organised corporation.The syndicate assured the president,or so I was told,that the price would not go below 50.It would be a very profitable deal as there was big value there.

The promoters' first mistake was in the matter of timeliness.The saturation point for new stock issues had been reached by the market,and they should have seen it.But even then they might have made a fair profit after all if they had not tried to duplicate the unreasonable killings which other promoters had made at the very height of the boom.

Now you must not run away with the notion that Jim Barnes and his associates were fools or inexperienced kids.They were shrewd men.All of them were familiar with Wall Street methods and some of them were exceptionally successful stock traders.But they did rather more than merely overestimate the public's buying capacity.After all,that capacity was something that they could determine only by actual tests.Where they erred more expensively was in expecting the bull market to last longer than it did.I suppose the reason was that these same men had met with such great and particularly with such quick success that they didn't doubt they'd be all through with the deal before the bull market turned.They were all well known and had a considerable following among the professional traders and the wire houses.

The deal was extremely well advertised.The newspapers certainly were generous with their space.The older concerns were identified with the stove industry of America and their product was known the world over.It was a patriotic amalgamation and there was a heap of literature in the daily papers about the world conquests.The markets of Asia,Africa and South America were as good as cinched.

The directors of the company were all men whose names were familiar to all readers of the financial pages.The publicity work was so well handled and the promises of unnamed insiders as to what the price was going to do were so definite and convincing that a great demand for the new stock was created.The result was that when the books were closed it was found that the stock which was offered to the public at fifty dollars a share had been oversubscribed by 25 per cent.

Think of it!The best the promoters should have expected was to succeed in selling the new stock at that price after weeks of work and after putting up the price to 75 or higher in order to average 50.At that,it meant an advance of about 100 per cent in the old prices of the stocks of the constituent companies.That was the crisis and they did not meet it as it should have been met.It shows you that every business has its own needs.General wisdom is less valuable than specific savvy.The promoters,delighted by the unexpected oversubscription,concluded that the public was ready to pay any price for any quantity of that stock.And they actually were stupid enough to underallot the stock.After the promoters made up their minds to be hoggish they should have tried to be intelligently hoggish.

What they should have done,of course,was to allot the stock in full.That would have made them short to the extent of 25 per cent of the total amount offered for subscription to the public,and that,of course,would have enabled them to support the stock when necessary and at no cost to themselves.Without any effort on their part they would have been in the strong strategic position that I always try to find myself in when I am manipulating a stock.They could have kept the price from sagging,thereby inspiring confidence in the new stock's price stability and in the underwriting syndicate back of it.They should have remembered that their work was not over when they sold the stock offered to the public.That was only a part of what they had to market.

They thought they had been very successful,but it was not long before the consequences of their two capital blunders became apparent.The public did not buy any more of the new stock,because the entire market developed reactionary tendencies.The insiders got cold feet and did not support Consolidated Stove;and if insiders don't buy their own stock on recessions,who should?The absence of inside support is generally accepted as a pretty good bear tip.

There is no need to go into statistical details.The price of Consolidated Stove fluctuated with the rest of the market,but it never went above the initial market quotations,which were only a fraction above 50.Barnes and his friends in the end had to come in as buyers in order to keep it above 40.Not to have supported that stock at the outset of its market career was regrettable.But not to have sold all the stock the public subscribed for was much worse.

At all events,the stock was duly listed on the New York Stock Exchange and the price of it duly kept sagging until it nominally stood at 37.And it stood there because Jim Barnes and his associates had to keep it there because their bank had loaned them thirty-five dollars a share on one hundred thousand shares.If the bank ever tried to liquidate that loan there was no telling what the price would break to.The public that had been eager to buy it at 50,now didn't care for it at 37,and probably wouldn't want it at 27.

As time went on the banks' excesses in the matter of extensions of credits made people think.The day of the boy banker was over.The banking business appeared to be on the ragged edge of suddenly relapsing into conservatism.Intimate friends were now asked to pay off loans,for all the world as though they had never played golf with the president.

There was no need to threaten on the lender's part or to plead for more time on the borrower's.The situation was highly uncomfortable for both.The bank,for example,with which my friend Jim Barnes did business,was still kindly disposed.But it was a case of“For heaven's sake take up that loan or we'll all be in a dickens of a mess!”

The character of the mess and its explosive possibilities were enough to make Jim Barnes come to me to ask me to sell the one hundred thousand shares for enough to pay off the bank's three-million-five-hundred-thousand-dollar loan.Jim did not now expect to make a profit on that stock.If the syndicate only made a small loss on it they would be more than grateful.

It seemed a hopeless task.The general market was neither active nor strong,though at times there were rallies,when everybody perked up and tried to believe the bull swing was about to resume.

The answer I gave Barnes was that I'd look into the matter and let him know under what conditions I'd undertake the work.Well,I did look into it.I didn't analyse the company's last annual report.My studies were confined to the stockmarket phases of the problem.I was not going to tout the stock for a rise on its earnings or its prospects,but to dispose of that block in the open market.All I considered was what should,could or might help or hinder me in that task.

I discovered for one thing that there was too much stock held by too few people—that is,too much for safety and far too much for comfort.Clifton P.Kane & Co.,bankers and brokers,members of the New York Stock Exchange,were carrying seventy thousand shares.They were intimate friends of Barnes and had been influential in effecting the consolidation,as they had made a specialty of stove stocks for years.Their customers had been let into the good thing.Ex-Senator Samuel Gordon,who was the special partner in his nephews' firm,Gordon Bros.,was the owner of a second block of seventy thousand shares;and the famous Joshua Wolff had sixty thousand shares.This made a total of two hundred thousand shares of Consolidated Stove held by this handful of veteran Wall Street professionals.They did not need any kind person to tell them when to sell their stock.If I did anything in the manipulating line calculated to bring in public buying—that is to say,if I made the stock strong and active—I could see Kane and Gordon and Wolff unloading,and not in homeopathic doses either.The vision of their two hundred thousand shares Niagaraing into the market was not exactly entrancing.Don't forget that the cream was off the bull movement and that no overwhelming demand was going to be manufactured by my operations,however skilfully conducted they might be.Jim Barnes had no illusions about the job he was modestly sidestepping in my favour.He had given me a waterlogged stock to sell on a bull market that was about to breathe its last.Of course there was no talk in the newspapers about the ending of the bull market,but I knew it,and Jim Barnes knew it,and you bet the bank knew it.

Still,I had given Jim my word,so I sent for Kane,Gordon and Wolff.Their two hundred thousand shares was the sword of Damocles.I thought I'd like to substitute a steel chain for the hair.The easiest way,it seemed to me,was by some sort of reciprocity agreement.If they helped me passively by holding off while I sold the bank's one hundred thousand shares,I would help them actively by trying to make a market for all of us to unload on.As things were,they couldn't sell one-tenth of their holdings without having Consolidated Stove break wide open,and they knew it so well that they had never dreamed of trying.All I asked of them was judgment in timing the selling and an intelligent unselfishness in order not to be unintelligently selfish.It never pays to be a dog in the manger in Wall Street or anywhere else.I desired to convince them that premature or ill-considered unloading would prevent complete unloading.Time urged.

I hoped my proposition would appeal to them because they were experienced Wall Street men and had no illusions about the actual demand for Consolidated Stove.Clifton P.Kane was the head of a prosperous commission house with branches in eleven cities and customers by the hundreds.His firm had acted as managers for more than one pool in the past.

Senator Gordon,who held seventy thousand shares,was an exceedingly wealthy man.His name was as familiar to the readers of the metropolitan press as though he had been sued for breach of promise by a sixteen-year-old manicurist possassing a five-thousand-dollar mink coat and one hundred and thirty-two letters from the defendant.He had started his nephews in business as brokers and he was a special partner in their firm.He had been in dozens of pools.He had inherited a large interest in the Midland Stove Company and he got one hundred thousand shares of Consolidated Stove for it.He had been carrying enough to disregard Jim Barnes' wild bull tips and had cashed in on thirty thousand shares before the market petered out on him.He told a friend later that he would have sold more only the other big holders,who were old and intimate friends,pleaded with him not to sell any more,and out of regard for them he stopped.Besides which,as I said,he had no market to unload on.

The third man was Joshua Wolff.He was probably the best known of all the traders.For twenty years everybody had known him as one of the plungers on the floor.In bidding up stocks or offering them down he had few equals,for ten or twenty thousand shares meant no more to him than two or three hundred.Before I came to New York I had heard of him as a plunger.He was then trailing with a sporting coterie that played a no limit game,whether on the race track or in the stock market.

They used to accuse him of being nothing but a gambler,but he had real ability and a strongly developed aptitude for the speculative game.At the same time his reputed indifference to highbrow pursuits made him the hero of numberless anecdotes.One of the most widely circulated of the yarns was that Joshua was a guest at what he called a swell dinner and by some oversight of the hostess several of the other guests began to discuss literature before they could be stopped.

A girl who sat next to Josh and had not heard him use his mouth except for masticating purposes,turned to him and looking anxious to hear the great financier's opinion asked him,“Oh,Mr.Wolff,what do you think of Balzac?”

Josh politely ceased to masticate,swallowed and answered,“I never trade in them Curb stocks!”

Such were the three largest individual holders of Consolidated Stove.When they came over to see me I told them that if they formed a syndicate to put up some cash and gave me a call on their stock at a little above the market I would do what I could to make a market.They promptly asked me how much money would be required.

I answered,“You've had that stock a long time and you can't do a thing with it.Between the three of you you've got two hundred thousand shares,and you know very well that you haven't the slightest chance of getting rid of it unless you make a market for it.It's got to be some market to absorb what you've got to give it,and it will be wise to have enough cash to pay for whatever stock it may be necessary to buy at first.It's no use to begin and then have to stop because there isn't enough money.I suggest that you form a syndicate and raise six millions in cash.Then give the syndicate a call on your two hundred thousand shares at 40 and put all your stock in escrow.If everything goes well you chaps will get rid of your dead pet and the syndicate will make some money.”

As I told you before,there had been all sorts of rumours about my stock-market winnings.I suppose that helped,for nothing succeeds like success.At all events,I didn't have to do much explaining to these chaps.They knew exactly how far they'd get if they tried to play a lone hand.They thought mine was a good plan.When they went away they said they would form the syndicate at once.

They didn't have much trouble in inducing a lot of their friends to join them.I suppose they spoke with more assurance than I had of the syndicate's profits.From all I heard they really believed it,so theirs were no conscienceless tips.At all events the syndicate was formed in a couple of days.Kane,Gordon and Wolff gave calls on the two hundred thousand shares at 40 and I saw to it that the stock itself was put in escrow,so that none of it would come out on the market if I should put up the price.I had to protect myself.More than one promising deal has failed to pan out as expected because the members of the pool or clique failed to keep faith with one another.Dog has no foolish prejudices against eating dog in Wall Street.At the time the second American Steel and Wire Company was brought out the insiders accused one another of breach of faith and trying to unload.There had been a gentlemen's agreement between John W.Gates and his pals and the Seligmans and their banking associates.Well,I heard somebody in a broker's office reciting this quatrain,which was said to have been composed by John W.Gates:

The tarantula jumped on the centipede's back

And chortled with ghoulish glee:

“I'll poison this murderous son of a gun.

If I don't he'll poison me!”

Mind you,I do not mean for one moment to imply that any of my friends in Wall Street would even dream of double-crossing me in a stock deal.But on general principles it is just as well to provide for any and all contingencies.It's plain sense.

After Wolff and Kane and Gordon told me that they had formed their syndicate to put up six millions in cash there was nothing for me to do but wait for the money to come in.I had urged the vital need of haste.Nevertheless the money came in driblets.I think it took four or five installments.I don't know what the reason was,but I remember that I had to send out an S O S call to Wolff and Kane and Gordon.

That afternoon I got some big checks that brought the cash in my possession to about four million dollars and the promise of the rest in a day or two.It began at last to look as though the syndicate might do something before the bull market passed away.At best it would be no cinch,and the sooner I began work the better.The public had not been particularly keen about new market movements in inactive stocks.But a man could do a great deal to arouse interest in any stock with four millions in cash.It was enough to absorb all the probable offerings.If time urged,as I had said,there was no sense in waiting for the other two millions.The sooner the stock got up to 50 the better for the syndicate.That was obvious.

The next morning at the opening I was surprised to see that there were unusually heavy dealings in Consolidated Stove.As I told you before,the stock had been waterlogged for months.The price had been pegged at 37,Jim Barnes taking good care not to let it go any lower on account of the big bank loan at 35.But as for going any higher,he'd as soon expect to see the Rock of Gibraltar shimmying across the Strait as to see Consolidated Stove do any climbing on the tape.

Well,sir,this morning there was quite a demand for the stock,and the price went up to 39.In the first hour of the trading the transactions were heavier than for the whole previous half year.It was the sensation of the day and affected bullishly the entire market.I heard afterwards that nothing else was talked about in the customers' rooms of the commission houses.

I didn't know what it meant,but it didn't hurt my feelings any to see Consolidated Stove perk up.As a rule I do not have to ask about any unusual movement in any stock because my friends on the floor—brokers who do business for me,as well as personal friends among the room traders—keep me posted.They assume I'd like to know and they telephone me any news or gossip they pick up.On this day all I heard was that there was unmistakable inside buying in Consolidated Stove.There wasn't any washing.It was all genuine.The purchasers took all the offerings from 37 to 39 and when importuned for reasons or begged for a tip,flatly refused to give any.This made the wily and watchful traders conclude that there was something doing;something big.When a stock goes up on buying by insiders who refuse to encourage the world at large to follow suit the ticker hounds begin to wonder aloud when the official notice will be given out.

I didn't do anything myself.I watched and wondered and kept track of the transactions.But on the next day the buying was not only greater in volume but more aggressive in character.The selling orders that had been on the specialists' books for months at above the pegged price of 37 were absorbed without any trouble,and not enough new selling orders came in to check the rise.Naturally,up went the price.It crossed 40.Presently it touched 42.

The moment it touched that figure I felt that I was justified in starting to sell the stock the bank held as collateral.Of course I figured that the price would go down on my selling,but if my average on the entire line was 37 I'd have no fault to find.I knew what the stock was worth and I had gathered some idea of the vendibility from the months of inactivity.Well,sir,I let them have stock carefully until I had got rid of thirty thousand shares.And the advance was not checked!

That afternoon I was told the reason for that opportune but mystifying rise.It seems that the floor traders had been tipped off after the close the night before and also the next morning before the opening,that I was bullish as blazes on Consolidated Stove and was going to rush the price right up fifteen or twenty points without a reaction,as was my custom—that is,my custom according to people who never kept my books.The tipster in chief was no less a personage than Joshua Wolff.It was his own inside buying that started the rise of the day before.His cronies among the floor traders were only too willing to follow his tip,for he knew too much to give wrong steers to his fellows.

As a matter of fact,there was not so much stock pressing on the market as had been feared.Consider that I had tied up three hundred thousand shares and you will realise that the old fears had been well founded.It now proved less of a job than I had anticipated to put up the stock.After all,Governor Flower was right.Whenever he was accused of manipulating his firm's specialties,like Chicago Gas,Federal Steel or B.R.T.,he used to say:“The only way I know of making a stock go up is to buy it.”That also was the floor traders' only way,and the price responded.

On the next day,before breakfast,I read in the morning papers what was read by thousands and what undoubtedly was sent over the wires to hundreds of branches and out-of-town offices,and that was that Larry Livingston was about to begin active bull operations in Consolidated Stove.The additional details differed.One version had it that I had formed an insiders' pool and was going to punish the overextended short interest.Another hinted at dividend announcements in the near future.Another reminded the world that what I usually did to a stock I was bullish on was something to remember.Still another accused the company of concealing its assets in order to permit accumulation by insiders.And all of them agreed that the rise hadn't fairly started.

By the time I reached my office and read my mail before the market opened I was made aware that the Street was flooded with red-hot tips to buy Consolidated Stove at once.My telephone bell kept ringing and the clerk who answered the calls heard the same question asked in one form or another a hundred times that morning:Was it true that Consolidated Stove was going up?I must say that Joshua Wolff and Kane and Gordon—and possibly Jim Barnes—handled that little tipping job mighty well.

I had no idea that I had such a following.Why,that morning the buying orders came in from all over the country—orders to buy thousands of shares of a stock that nobody wanted at any price three days before.And don't forget that,as a matter of fact,all that the public had to go by was my newspaper reputation as a successful plunger;something for which I had to thank an imaginative reporter or two.

Well,sir,on that,the third day of the rise,I sold Consolidated Stove;and on the fourth day and the fifth;and the first thing I knew I had sold for Jim Barnes the one hundred thousand shares of stock which the Marshall National Bank held as collateral on the three-million-five-hundred-thousand-dollar loan that needed paying off.If the most successful manipulation consists of that in which the desired end is gained at the least possible cost to the manipulator,the Consolidated Stove deal is by all means the most successful of my Wall Street career.Why,at no time did I have to take any stock.I didn't have to buy first in order to sell the more easily later on.I did not put up the price to the highest possible point and then begin my real selling.I didn't even do my principal selling on the way down,but on the way up.It was like a dream of Paradise to find an adequate buying power created for you without your stirring a finger to bring it about,particularly when you were in a hurry.I once heard a friend of Governor Flower's say that in one of the great bull-leader's operations for the account of a pool in B.R.T.the pool sold fifty thousand shares of the stock at a profit,but Flower & Co.got commissions on more than two hundred and fifty thousand shares and W.P.Hamilton says that to distribute two hundred and twenty thousand shares of Amalgamated Copper,James R.Keene must have traded in at least seven hundred thousand shares of the stock during the necessary manipulation.Some commission bill!Think of that and then consider that the only commissions that I had to pay were the commissions on the one hundred thousand shares I actually sold for Jim Barnes.I call that some saving.

Having sold what I had engaged to sell for my friend Jim,and all the money the syndicate had agreed to raise not having been sent in,and feeling no desire to buy back any of the stock I had sold,I rather think I went away somewhere for a short vacation.I do not remember exactly.But I do remember very well that I let the stock alone and that it was not long before the price began to sag.One day,when the entire market was weak,some disappointed bull wanted to get rid of his Consolidated Stove in a hurry,and on his offerings the stock broke below the call price,which was 40.Nobody seemed to want any of it.As I told you before,I wasn't bullish on the general situation and that made me more grateful than ever for the miracle that had enabled me to dispose of the one hundred thousand shares without having to put the price up twenty or thirty points in a week,as the kindly tipsters had prophesied.

Finding no support,the price developed a habit of declining regularly until one day it broke rather badly and touched 32.That was the lowest that had ever been recorded for it,for,as you will remember,Jim Barnes and the original syndicate had pegged it at 37 in order not to have their one hundred thousand shares dumped on the market by the bank.

I was in my office that day peacefully studying the tape when Joshua Wolff was announced.I said I would see him.He rushed in.He is not a very large man,but he certainly seemed all swelled up—with anger,as I instantly discovered.

He ran to where I stood by the ticker and yelled,“Hey?What the devil's the matter?”

“Have a chair,Mr.Wolff,”I said politely and sat down myself to encourage him to talk calmly.

“I don't want any chair!I want to know what it means!”he cried at the top of his voice.

“What does what mean?”

“What in hell are you doing to it?”

“What am I doing to what?”

“That stock!That stock!”

“What stock?”I asked him.

But that only made him see red,for he shouted,“Consolidated Stove!What are you doing to it?”

“Nothing!Absolutely nothing.What's wrong?”I said.

He stared at me fully five seconds before he exploded:“Look at the price!Look at it!”

He certainly was angry.So I got up and looked at the tape.

I said,“The price of it is now 31?”

“Yeh !Thirty-one and a quarter,and I've got a raft of it.”

I know you have sixty thousand shares.You have had it a long time,because when you originally bought your Gray Stove—”

But he didn't let me finish.He said,“But I bought a lot more.Some of it cost me as high as 40!And I've got it yet!”

He was glaring at me so hostilely that I said,“I didn't tell you to buy it.”

“You didn't what?”

“I didn't tell you to load up with it.”

“I didn't say you did.But you were going to put it up—”

“Why was I?”I interrupted.

He looked at me,unable to speak for anger.When he found his voice again,he said,“You were going to put it up.You had the money to buy it.”

“Yes.But I didn't buy a share,”I told him.

That was the last straw.

“You didn't buy a share,and you had over four millions in cash to buy with?You didn't buy any?”

“Not a share!”I repeated.

He was so mad by now that he couldn't talk plainly.Finally he managed to say,“What kind of a game do you call that?”

He was inwardly accusing me of all sorts of unspeakable crimes.I sure could see a long list of them in his eyes.It made me say to him:“What you really mean to ask me,Wolff,is,why I didn't buy from you above 50 the stock you bought below 40.Isn't that it?”

“No,it isn't.You had a call at 40 and four millions in cash to put up the price with.”

“Yes,but I didn't touch the money and the syndicate has not lost a cent by my operations.”

“Look here,Livingston—”he began.

But I didn't let him say any more.

“You listen to me,Wolff.You knew that the two hundred thousand shares you and Gordon and Kane held were tied up,and that there wouldn't be an awful lot of floating stock to come on the market if I put up the price,as I'd have to do for two reasons:The first to make a market for the stock;and the second to make a profit out of the call at 40.But you weren't satisfied to get 40 for the sixty thousand shares you'd been lugging for months or with your share of the syndicate profits,if any;so you decided to take on a lot of stock under 40 to unload on me when I put the price up with the syndicate's money,as you were sure I meant to do.You'd buy before I did and you'd unload before I did;in all probability I'd be the one to unload on.I suspect you figured on my having to put the price up to 60.It was such a cinch that you probably bought ten thousand shares strictly for unloading purposes,and to make sure somebody held the bag if I didn't,you tipped off everybody in the United States,Canada and Mexico without thinking of my added difficulties.All your friends knew what I was supposed to do.Between their buying and mine you were going to be all hunky.Well,your intimate friends to whom you gave the tip passed it on to their friends after they had bought their lines,and the third stratum of tip-takers planned to supply the fourth,fifth and possibly sixth strata of suckers,so that when I finally came to do some selling I'd find myself anticipated by a few thousands of wise speculators.It was a friendly thought,that notion of yours,Wolff.You can't imagine how surprised I was when Consolidated Stove began to go up before I even thought of buying a single share;or how grateful,either,when the underwriting syndicate sold one hundred thousand shares around 40 to the people who were going to sell those same shares to me at 50 or 60.I sure was a sucker not to use the four millions to make money for them,wasn't I?The cash was supplied to buy stock with,but only if I thought it necessary to do so.Well,I didn't.”

Joshua had been in Wall Street long enough not to let anger interfere with business.He cooled off as he heard me,and when I was through talking he said in a friendly tone of voice,“Look here,Larry,old chap,what shall we do?”

“Do whatever you please.”

“Aw,be a sport.What would you do if you were in our place?”

“If I were in your place,”I said solemnly,“do you know what I'd do?”

“What ?”

“I'd sell out !”I told him.

He looked at me a moment,and without another word turned on his heel and walked out of my office.He's never been in it since.

Not long after that,Senator Gordon also called.He,too,was quite peevish and blamed me for their troubles.Then Kane joined the anvil chorus.They forgot that their stock had been unsalable in bulk when they formed the syndicate.All they could remember was that I didn't sell their holdings when I had the syndicate's millions and the stock was active at 44,and that now it was 30 and dull as dishwater.To their way of thinking I should have sold out at a good fat profit.

Of course they also cooled down in due time.The syndicate wasn't out a cent and the main problem remained unchanged:to sell their stock.A day or two later they came back and asked me to help them out.Gordon was particularly insistent,and in the end I made them put in their pooled stock at 25?.My fee for my services was to be one-half of whatever I got above that figure.The last sale had been at about 30.

There I was with their stock to liquidate.Given general market conditions and specifically the behaviour of Consolidated Stove,there was only one way to do it,and that was,of course,to sell on the way down and without first trying to put up the price,and I certainly would have got stock by the ream on the way up.But on the way down I could reach those buyers who always argue that a stock is cheap when it sells fifteen or twenty points below the top of the movement,particularly when that top is a matter of recent history.A rally is due,in their opinion.After seeing Consolidated Stove sell up to close to 44 it sure looked like a good thing below 30.

It worked out as always.Bargain hunters bought it in sufficient volume to enable me to liquidate the pool's holdings.But do you think that Gordon or Wolff or Kane felt any gratitude?Not a bit of it.They are still sore at me,or so their friends tell me.They often tell people how I did them.They cannot forgive me for not putting up the price on myself,as they expected.

As a matter of fact I never would have been able to sell the bank's hundred thousand shares if Wolff and the rest had not passed around those red-hot bull tips of theirs.If I had worked as I usually do—that is,in a logical natural way—I would have had to take whatever price I could get.I told you we ran into a declining market.The only way to sell on such a market is to sell not necessarily recklessly but really regardless of price.No other way was possible,but I suppose they do not believe this.They are still angry.I am not.Getting angry doesn't get a man anywhere.More than once it has been borne in on me that a speculator who loses his temper is a goner.In this case there was no aftermath to the grouches.But I'll tell you something curious.One day Mrs.Livingston went to a dressmaker who had been warmly recommended to her.The woman was competent and obliging and had a very pleasing personality.At the third or fourth visit,when the dressmaker felt less like a stranger,she said to Mrs.Livingston:“I hope Mr.Livingston puts up Consolidated Stove soon.We have some that we bought because we were told he was going to put it up,and we'd always heard that he was very successful in all his deals.”

I tell you it isn't pleasant to think that innocent people may have lost money following a tip of that sort.Perhaps you understand why I never give any myself.That dressmaker made me feel that in the matter of grievances I had a real one against Wolff.

一天,我的好朋友,同时也是我的一位主要经纪商吉姆·巴恩斯来找我,他说需要我帮个忙。这样的话要是放在以前,他是从来不会说的。我问他需要帮什么忙,希望我能够帮得上,因为我确实想表达一下我对他的感激之情。他告诉我说,与某只股票有关,事实上他们是这家公司的主要承销商,而且握有很多股票,现在行情变了,他们想把这一大笔股票卖出去。吉姆想让我帮他推广这个联合炉具公司的股票。

因为很多原因,我不想受这件事牵连,可是我受过吉姆的恩惠,他又从个人角度来求我帮忙,仅凭这一点,就足以说服我。我的朋友吉姆是个好人,我想他的公司必定与这件事情关系很深,因此我最终决定要尽力帮他。

我总觉得,战争带来的市场繁荣与其他情况下的市场景气之间有个最明显的区别,那就是青年银行家们在股市中有了自己的新角色。

这一次的股市繁荣属于自发现象,谁都清楚其中的原因,可同时,美国的最大银行与信托机构也在使出吃奶的力气帮各种承销公司和军火商,使他们在很短时间内就摇身一变,成了百万富翁。其中的情形非常可笑,只要某人说他的朋友在联军委员会有朋友,就会得到别人送上的一大笔所需资金,开展还没到手的合约。我曾听人说过一些离谱的事情,小员工成了公司总裁,做了几百万的交易,就是靠着信托公司的信任借到了钱,然后在人们之间转来转去,让谁都受到了合约的恩惠。从欧洲向美国流入了数目巨大的黄金,银行就必须要找到办法来储存这些黄金。

这样做生意,让老前辈们看到肯定会非常不齿,可此时已经很少有老前辈们活跃了。在和平年代,老当益壮的银行总裁恰逢其时,可在这样的非常时期,他们压力很大,年轻才是主要的本钱。很明显,银行获得了非常令人艳羡的利润。

马歇尔国民银行的那位年轻总裁,与吉姆及其合伙人的关系很好,深获信任,他们打算将三家很有名气的炉具公司合并到一起,再把新公司的股票推销出去。过去的好几个月里,只要有股票,不管什么股,人们都想着要买进。

其中有个问题,就是炉具公司业务很好,所以,这三家公司自成立以来,普通股是首次赚到股利。大股东们不想丢掉控制权。在没有上市的市场中,股票行情很好,大股东们愿意放出去的股票都已经被抢购一空,这样的结果令他们非常满意。这三家公司有一些非常小的资本额,没办法让市场出现波动。此时,吉姆的公司进来了,他说只要三家公司合并,那就足以在交易所挂牌了。此后,新股的价值肯定高于旧股。在华尔街,这算是老套路了,让股票换身装扮,就能提高价值。比如当一只股票按照面值很难卖出的时候,只要把它一分为四,就能用30美元或35美元的价格卖掉。这就相当于原来的股票是按照120美元或者140美元的价格卖出。而这样的价位,原来的股票是不可能实现的。

看来吉姆及其合伙人鼓动了一群朋友支持合并计划,他们为了实现投机的目的,持有很多格瑞炉具公司的股票。这家炉具公司很大,因此合并方式是用一股格瑞的旧股票兑换四股联合炉具的新股票。然后,中部炉具与西部炉具也紧随其后,用一股换一股的条件加入了合并计划。他们两家公司在没上市市场上的股价是25到30美元,格瑞比较有名且有股利可分,因此股价大概是125美元。

他们从那些坚持要卖出股票从而套现的股东手里买断了股票,用来筹集资金。同时为了有足够改观业务的额外运营资金和承销费用,他们需要募集几百万美元。所以,吉姆以10万新公司的股票作为质押,去跟心肠不错的马歇尔国民银行总裁借了350万美元。就我知道的情况,公司内部向银行总裁保证过,股价不会低于50美元。这个交易的价值不小,所以里面的利润非常可观。

公司人士行事的第一个错是没有掌握好时机。新股在市场流通中已经饱和,他们应该知道这个,可即使这样,他们若不想像其他公司那样,得到在股市最景气的时候能得到的高额利润,也就能够赚到不小一笔资金了。

你不能轻易说吉姆和合伙人是一群笨蛋或经验欠缺的毛头小子。他们可都是精明的成年人,对华尔街上的一切手段都很清楚,有的人甚至是非常出色的股票交易者。可是他们的所作所为,却不光是高估了股民们的购买力。毕竟,他们在实打实地进行市场测试前,是没办法判断购买力有多少的。他们更严重的错是想着让多头市场持续时间更长一些。我觉得,可能是因为他们曾经都成功地做过交易,尤其是在快速操作而赚钱方面成就突出,从而致使他们对自己能够在多头市场疲软之前就赚到钱充满信心。他们都名气不小,在业内的专业交易者和证券经纪商当中都有粉丝。

这个事例的宣传很到位,报纸确实非常大方,报道了一大篇内容,提到那三家公司是美国炉具产业的范本,产品在世界上都很有名气,合并三家公司,是爱国主义行为。日报上发表了很多报道,说他们在世界范围内是如何开疆拓土的,已经在亚非拉地区的市场中站稳了脚跟。

阅读报纸财经版的读者们都知道,这家公司的董事都是非常著名的人物。公关工作搞得好,公司内部没有署名的人也做了承诺,说股价一定会呈现出什么样的结果,非常肯定且有说服力,所以为新发行的股票搭建了很大的市场需求。最终在申购完了以后,按照50美元公开销售的股票,认购量超出了四分之一。

你想啊,公司使了好几周的劲儿,把股价提升到了75美元以上,平均股价也达到了50美元以上,能够看到的最好结果是按照这样的价位,把所有新股都卖出去。以这个价位释股,说明合并了的几家公司的股票原来的价格大概翻了一番。这是一次危机,他们本该做出应对措施,却纹丝不动。这说明每个行业都有自身的特殊需求,常人的眼光没有专业人士的眼光那么有价值。公司的人因为股票被超额认购而非常高兴,他们很确定地以为,不论它的价格高到多少,发行多少股,人们都会拿着金钱没有节制地买进。他们真是愚蠢至极,竟然没有足额配售准备减持给大众的股票。公司内部决定要贪心时,也应该贪得稍微聪明点儿呀。

全额配售股票,这是他们最该做的事。如此一来,当他们把那些说要公开销售出去的所有股票都卖给股民后,还有四分之一的不足。在必要的时候,这个不足应该能够起到支撑股价的作用,不用公司内部自己出钱。公司内部没有丝毫付出,就能让自己位于非常优势的股市战略地位,这可是我炒作股票的时候,一直想办法找寻的优势。他们本来能够对股价下跌做出防范措施,鼓舞股民们对这只新股充满信心,从而对股票背后的公司坚定信心。公司应该知道在把配售的股票发售给股民们以后,自己的工作并没完,这些都仅仅只是他们必须要做的一部分。

公司自己觉得做得很不错,可没过多长时间,他们所犯的两个巨大错误就导致了严重的后果。人们看到股市出现了回调迹象,就不再去买进这只新发行的股票了。公司内部也跟着担心了,也就没有去支撑联合炉具股票。在股市回调期,如果连自己内部的人都不买进股票的话,那谁还会去买呢!内部人士都不支持,往往就会被看作已经是很清晰的利空信号了。

没必要再说那些详细的统计数字了,联合炉具股票的价格与股市中的其他股票一样,波动起伏着。不过再也没有高过一开始上市时稍高于50美元的价格。吉姆和他的合伙人最终只好买进,以便把股价稳定在40美元以上。在刚刚上市时不支持这只股票,这让人觉得非常遗憾和可惜。可是,没有把股民们认购的股票全部销售出去,这是更加失败的举动。

总而言之,这只新股票在纽交所顺利地挂牌,然后股价也很自然地在下滑,直至以37美元的价格停住才罢。股价能够在这个价格上停止,是因为吉姆及其合伙人必须把股价顶到这个价位上。他们合作的银行质押了10万股,按照每股35美元向他们借了钱,假如银行想要斩断股票收回贷款,那还真难说准股价会跌成什么样子。人们在50美元的时候急着往进买,如今跌成37美元了,反而对它没了任何兴趣,或许就算跌到27美元都还会是无人搭理的状态。

时间长了,人们就开始思索银行大量往外放款的事。青年银行家们的日子临近尾声了,银行业好像面临着重要转折,仿佛在猛然之间,就要回归原来那种谨慎保守的状态。那些本来和银行家非常亲近和友好的人,如今被银行家追着要债,让他无论如何都要还款,好像双方之间以前从来没有一起玩过高尔夫一般。

放款的这边不可能逼迫,贷了款的这一边又不会求着对方宽限些时日。这样的状态,让两边都很为难。就像我的朋友吉姆,与他打交道的银行还是那么友好的样子,可情况已经变成了:“请一定要还清贷款,不然我们都会面临无法想象的后果。”

面临这样的困难局面,以及有可能引发的严重后果,吉姆不得不来找我帮忙,让我代卖10万股,回收资金,还银行那350万美元的贷款。他已经不做通过这些股票赚钱的梦了,只要公司能少亏掉一点儿,他们就谢天谢地了。

这看起来是个没有任何希望的任务。股市大盘没有一点儿活力,后劲不足,偶尔出现个小小反弹,人们都精神一振,打算相信多头市场即将来临,仅此而已。

我对吉姆说需要分析一下后再告诉他,我如果想做这个事情,需要什么条件。我的确分析了一下这个事情,我研究的不是公司的最新年报,而只是想弄清这个问题发生在股市行情中的哪个阶段。我不用公司盈余和未来的理想走向去为这只股票打开市场,抬高价格,而要通过公开市场把这些股票清空。我需要思考的是,仅仅在这个任务当中,哪些因素应该能够或者可能帮到我,哪些因素又会或者可能会对我不利。

比如,我看到少数人手中握着大量的股票,意味着他们控制了过多数量的股票,因此会很不安全,数量多到了足以让人寝食难安的程度。克里夫顿·甘恩公司持股7万,他们公司的业务包括银行投资和经纪行当,也是纽交所会员,还是吉姆的朋友。多年以来,这家公司一直醉心于炉具股票,所以在三家公司的合并事宜上,他们的作用非同小可,他们也诱导了自家客户,使之对这只股票的前景抱了很大幻想。原参议员塞缪尔·戈登也手持7万股,他是他侄子开的一家名为戈登兄弟公司的高级合伙人。还有,名气很大的约书亚·伍尔夫也有6万股。华尔街的这几个老行家一共持有联合炉具公司的20万股,不用哪个好心人士对他们说什么时候应该卖出。如果我有炒作迹象,想吸引人们买进股票,也就是把这只股票弄得比较活跃有力,必然会看到甘恩、戈登和伍尔夫要往外抛出必定不是小数目的股票。一想到他们那20万股会像尼亚加拉大瀑布那样涌入股市,就不会愉快。不要忘记,多头市场的高峰期已经过去了,无论我有多高超的操作技巧,都不可能搭建出非常广阔的市场需求。吉姆有节制地退后,以便把事情交给我来做,而他并没有多少美好的幻想。在多头市场临终的时候,他把这只水分很高的股票交给我去卖。报纸上当然没有关于多头市场临近结束的报道,可我清楚这个局面,吉姆跟我一样清楚,甚至能够肯定,银行也非常清楚。

可我答应了,因此就托人去请甘恩和伍尔夫。那20万股,就像国王请达摩克利斯吃饭时,悬在他头顶的剑一样。我想,要把头发换成一条大铁链,这样才会安全。我觉得,最轻巧的办法就是与他们制定一个共赢合同。如果他们对我稍加配合,在我卖出银行那10万股的时候,他们能够忍住不卖,我就能够帮他们创造出一个大家可以一起出售股票的市场。事情本该如此,就算他们想卖出十分之一的股票,又不想让联合炉具股票下跌,是不可能的事情。他们非常明白,因此也没试图往外卖。我只是希望他们在合适的时候再卖,不要让自私压制了理智。无论是在华尔街还是其他地方,占了有利的位置却无所作为,不会有好果子吃。我准备让他们彻底明白,太早抛售或者不考虑别人就去抛售,是会妨碍出售股票的,时不我待啊。

我希望提出的建议能够说服他们这些经验老到的华尔街大腕,不要在联合炉具股票上抱太大的幻想。甘恩的公司生意非常好,分公司都开到了11个城市,有大量顾客,他还多次做过股票炒作集团的操盘人。

参议员戈登有7万股,是个大富豪。他曾经受到过一个年仅16岁的女美甲师对他背信弃义的控告,所以《都市新闻报》的读者们对他的大名非常熟悉。那个美甲师有一件5000美元的貂皮大衣和戈登写给她的132封信。戈登帮助侄子们创建了公司,他本人也是公司的高级合伙人。他曾经在几十个炒作集团里参与过业务。他以继承的方式掌握了中部炉具公司的一大把股票,其后用它们换了合并的联合炉具公司的10万股。他手中有这么多股票,完全不用管吉姆提供的不靠谱的利好消息,所以他可以在多头市场慢慢消散前就卖出3万股,换回现金。后来,他对朋友说,是其他股东和与他关系很亲近的老朋友们劝他不要再卖出,他才因为顾及情面,没有再出售,要不然他就会卖出更多的股票。此外我刚才也提到过,市场也没有为他的卖出提供机会。

第三个人就是伍尔夫,或许他是三人中间最著名的一个。在过去的20年,谁都清楚他是交易大厅里有名的赌棍。他在拉抬和掼压股价领域鲜有对手,对他而言,两三万股票和两三百股票是没什么不一样的。我在去纽约之前就对他的赌博名声耳熟能详。他那时候还在一个非常喜好赌博又没有限定赌资上限的小公司里做事,那是一家既赌股票又赌马的小集团。

人们都习惯于说他就是个赌徒,除此之外一无是处,可他的能力确实非常强,对待投机游戏也有很值得称赞的态度。而且,据说他对追求知识毫无兴趣,因此也有很多与他相关的奇闻逸事。一个流传最广的笑话说,有一次伍尔夫参加上流社会的宴会,女主人考虑不周全,使得很多宾客都互相谈论起了文学,气氛热烈得连女主人都没办法制止了。

坐在伍尔夫身边的一个女孩不知道他那张嘴巴只会用来吃饭,所以回头与他对话,急切地想知道这个大富豪有什么看法。她问他:“嗯,伍尔夫先生,你怎么看待巴尔扎克?”

伍尔夫非常礼貌,停止了吃东西,然后咽下口中的食物后说:“对于那些没有上市的股票,我是从来不交易的。”

他们就是联合炉具公司的三个最大股东。与他们见面后,我对他们说,假如他们能组成一个小团队,筹集到一笔钱,然后以比市价稍高一点儿的股价,把买进股票的选择权交给我,我就会设法搭建起赚钱的市场。他们马上就问,到底需要多少钱。

我回答说:“你们手里握着联合炉具的股票很长时间了,却没有任何办法。你们合起来有20万股,你们自己非常清楚,你们除了能够搭建一个市场去交易之外,根本没有丝毫的时机卖出。这个市场必须要足够大,才能完全吸纳你们的这笔股票,现金也要足够多,才可以在一开始买进必须要买的股票。如果钱不太够,开始了又停顿不前,是起不了作用的。我建议你们成立联合小团队,筹集600万,再按照40美元的股价,把20万股票的买进选择权授予你们的小团队,同时把你们手中所有股票托管在信托账户。不出问题的话,你们会卖掉手中那些僵死的鸟儿,你们小组也能赚到一笔钱。”

正如我之前所说,坊间流传着我在股市上赚钱的各种谣言。我想这些说我成功了但其实没有成功的流言是有助于我的。总而言之,我不需要向他们多做什么解释。他们非常明白,如果只靠单打独斗,事情不会有什么进展,他们觉得我的想法不错。临走时,他们答应要成立一个小团队。

这三人没怎么耗费精力就成功劝说了很多朋友加入。我想,他们谈论这个小团队的利益时,比我还要确定。我听到的所有消息都说,他们非常确信我的看法,所以他们的内幕消息有一定的依据。总之在几天后,他们就联合成立了一个小团队。甘恩、戈登和伍尔夫按照40美元授予了我20万股票的买进选择权,我为这些股票成立了信托管理。这样,就不会在我拉抬股价的时候,有股票溜进市场中了。这个团队中的人员之间没有多少信任度,很多非常有可能成功的交易,却没有像预料的那样成功,类似的例子很多,所以我要做好自我保护。在华尔街上,狗没有反对咬狗的愚蠢偏见。那时候,第二家美国钢铁线缆公司上市,公司内部互相指责说对方违约,在想办法出售股票。约翰·盖茨与他的朋友,赛里曼斯家族和银行合伙人之间,都曾经有过君子协定。好吧,我在经纪商那里却听到了别人读过下面这首据说是盖茨写的诗:

毒蜘蛛跳上蜈蚣的背,

残忍又幸灾乐祸地发笑,

我要毒死这个害人精,

否则的话它就会反过来毒死我。

请注意,我没有一丁点儿影射华尔街的朋友们曾经在股市上欺骗我的意思,不过出于原则,你还是要为所有突发事件做好准备,这是显而易见的。

甘恩、戈登和伍尔夫对我说了他们已经组团的消息,并说准备筹集600万现金。接下来,我无事可做,就等着这笔款到位。我让他们加快速度,这是非常重要的。不过这笔款项是分阶段到位的,大概通过四五次才完成筹备。我不知道其中的原因,可我有印象的是,我向他们三人发过特别紧急的求救信号。

某天下午,一笔大款项的支票到了我手中,我也就有了大概400万的现金,同时我也接到他们的承诺,说其余款项过上一两天就能到位。如今来看,在多头市场结束前,这个小团队可能会获得一些小成就。不过,就算各方面条件都达到最佳程度,那也不是百分百肯定的,我行动开始得越早越有利。一只本来不受待见的股票,忽然出现了一些新动向,股民们是不会有多大兴趣的。不过当你手中有了400万美金后,能够做的事情就会更多,完全可以使人们对这只股票产生兴趣。这笔款完全能够吸进一切有卖出可能性的股票。时机如果真的跟我说的一样迫在眉睫,我也就不需要等还没到位的那200万了,我越能够趁早把股价抬高到50美元,对这个小团队来说也越有利,这是显而易见的。

第二天一早,股市开盘后,我惊奇地发现,联合炉具公司股票出现了大量的交易,这是非常难得一见的现象。正如我刚刚所说,好几个月来,它一直处于萎靡不振、一步都迈不动的状态,股价也一直在37美元左右停滞。吉姆使出了吃奶的劲儿,试图让它不要再下跌不止。他按照每股35美元向银行质押,贷回来一笔巨款。提到上涨,他是想看到联合炉具股票价格上涨,可是这却比看到直布罗陀海峡的礁石在海面上漂移还要困难。

伙计啊,这只股票在那天早上表现出的需求量真是大,股价涨到了39美元。在第一个小时的交易段内,交易量就超过了以往半年的成交总量。当天,这只股票成了最热门的股票,同时整个股市都受到了它的影响,有了一点儿多头市场的气色。后来,我听说人们在交易大厅内都不谈论其他事情,只讨论与这只股票有关的话题。

我不清楚这是什么意思,可看到联合炉具股票活了过来,我就觉得在感情上没有受到打击。通常而言,我没必要去打听很难见到的股票波动的消息,我那些交易大厅里帮我做交易的朋友和其他好朋友都会向我传达消息。他们觉得我肯定想知道,所以会把他们听到的所有消息和谣言都通过电话告诉我。

我在这天听到了联合炉具公司确实有内部人在买进股票的消息,没有任何洗盘动作,所有的交易都是正儿八经的买进。买股票的人在股价到37至39美元的时候,把所有卖出的股票都尽收囊中,人们请他给个这么做的理由,哪怕提供一点儿内幕消息也行,可是却没有得到答复。这个现象,使得那些紧盯着市场的聪明的交易人员觉得,一定有什么内幕在酝酿,会有很大的行情变动。公司内部的人买进自家股票,使得股价上涨,而他们又不鼓励其他股民跟进,这就让那些执着的股民开始到处搜索消息,打听到底什么时候会有正式的变动通知。

我个人什么都没干,只是认真观察,甚觉奇怪。我也追踪着这只股票的交易走势。第二天,人们买进这只股票的数量越发多了,而且更加猛烈。按照业内账册的记录,之前几个月里37美元以上想卖却没卖出的股票,此时非常轻松地就被市场吸纳了,而且又没有更多的新卖单拉住上涨的势头。股价一如既往地上升,超过40美元,然后又涨到了42美元。

此时,我认为应该把银行质押的那些股票抛出了。我自然不会觉得,我卖出这么多股票会拉低股价,而只要我整体持股的平均成本在37美元,就没人指摘我。我清楚这只股票的价值,通过对它在几个月里被冷落的状态进行观察后,我或多或少了解了这只股票的市场情况。我谨慎地把股票卖向市场,最后卖出了3万股,真的没有拉低涨势。

那天下午,有人对我讲了出现这种及时又神奇的涨势的原因。好像在前一天收盘后到这一天开盘前的这段时间,有人向营业员透露消息,说我如烈火般凶猛地看好联合炉具公司,还打算按照以往惯例,把股价抬高15到20个点,中途不会停歇。所谓我的惯例,其实是那些从不会去研究我记录的人的片面看法。负责传播内幕消息的人是伍尔夫,真是来头好大呀。正是因为他自己的内线买进了股票,使得股价从前一天开始上涨。他那些营业员群体中的好朋友非常高兴跟着他的消息走,他了解的内幕真的很多,不会对跟随自己的粉丝们提供假消息。

其实,进入市场的股票比我原来担心的要少一些。你要是记得我已经控制住了30万股,就明白我起先的那些担心并非多余,现在要拉升股价变得轻松多了。弗劳尔州长说得对——每天都会有人骂他炒作自己公司负责的如芝加哥瓦斯和联邦钢铁等股票——他说:“我知道只有买进才是让股价上涨的唯一办法。”这也是营业员们抬升股价的唯一方法。价格会反映买盘,跟着上涨。

第二天早餐前,我在报纸上看到了一条消息,这是好多人都能看到的,没什么可怀疑的,这条消息会通过电报送达几百家股票分公司和外地的股票交易公司。报道说,拉里·利文斯顿马上会下大功夫做多联合炉具股票。各个报纸的报道中涉及的细节性内容大同小异,有一家说我组织了一个内部机构,准备向那些过度放空的空头进行大反击。还有一家报道说,公司在不久后就要发布配股消息。另有报道也在提醒人们,要注意我在操作那些吃香的股票时取得的成就,但同时也有报道说这个公司为了让内部人士吃饱股票,从而隐藏了资产。一切新闻报道都觉得这只股票的涨势才刚刚开始。

那天早上,在开盘之前,我还没到办公室看我的信件,就已经得知华尔街上充斥着刚出炉的内幕消息,让大家赶紧买联合炉具的股票。我的电话响了一上午,电话员接到了上百个电话,问的都是同一个问题:联合炉具的股价到底会不会上涨。我必须承认,伍尔夫、甘恩和戈登,或许还有吉姆,他们把透露内幕消息这样的事情做得天衣无缝。

我真不知道追随我的人这么多。哈,一早上收到了大量来自全国各地的买单,都买的是几千股,这只股票在三天前可是多低价位都没人搭理呀。你不要忘记,其实股民们完全是靠着报纸知道了我是个非常成功的大赌徒,这可得感谢那些极富想象力的记者。

伙计们,情况发展成这样,股价上涨第三天的时候,我卖出了联合炉具的股票,紧接着连卖了三天,然后才察觉我已经把吉姆质押给马歇尔国民银行的10万股抛售空了,这可是350万美元的质押股呀。如果说,一个作手花最低的成本实现了最终目标属于最成功的炒作,那么这次有关联合炉具的炒作肯定是我在华尔街的奋斗历程中最出色的成绩。啊,我连任何股票都没有买进,我都没有为了后来能够卖出得轻松些而先买进。我也没有把股票抬升到最高点再正儿八经地卖出。我甚至不必在价格一路走低时把卖出作为主要的行动,反而是在价格抬升时卖出的。这简直就如同在游乐场里做了个美梦,没有耗费多少精力,就挖掘出了别人为你搭建的庞大的买方市场。特别是在你急着想抛售的时候。以前,我听弗劳尔州长的朋友说过,有一次,这位伟大的多头领袖为一家公司炒作的时候,这家公司获利卖出了5万股,可是弗劳尔团队却赚了超过25万股的交易手续费。汉密尔顿提到过,詹姆斯·凯恩为了售出联合铜矿公司的22万股,通过必要的炒作过程,最少需要做70万股的交易。这样的手续费成本太高了。对照这些情况,再看看我付出的手续费,只有我为吉姆卖出10万股的那点儿费用,我觉得这是个非常了不起的事情。

虽然他们同意筹集的600万资金没有完全到位,可我向好友吉姆做出的承诺已经实现,我也不想把之前自己卖出的任何股票再买进来,反而只想好好找个地方去度个短假。我的记忆已经模糊了,可我清楚记得的是我让这只股票顺其自然地去发展,不久后它就价格下跌了。某一天,整个股市都很疲软,一个做多头的人很失望,他想迅速卖掉手里的联合炉具股票。由于他引发的卖压,使得股价跌破了40美元,到了我买进选择权的价位以下。好像没人再想要这只股票了。我原来说过,自己并不怎么太看好股市,所以我很感激出现了那一点儿奇迹,使我能够卖掉10万股,而且还没有出现与传达消息的大善人所预想的情形,即在一周内将股价拉升二三十美元。这只股票在没有支撑的情况下,价格一直下跌。有一天跌得非常严重,到了有史以来的最低价位32美元。估计你还记得,吉姆和他的伙伴们把持的股价是37美元,以防银行拿他们的10万股去市场釜底抽薪。

那天,我安静地坐在办公室里研究股市行情,有人说伍尔夫来了。我请他进来后,一眼就看到他直冲我过来,不太高大的身躯被怒气包裹着,好像发胖了一般。

他走到我跟前,大声说道:“哎,这算怎么回事?”

“伍尔夫先生,请坐吧。”我客气地说完后坐了下来,好让他能够平静下来。

“我不坐,我只想知道是怎么回事?”他把嗓门提到了最高。

“什么怎么回事?”

“你到底把它怎么了?”

“我把什么怎么了呀?”

“就是股票,那只股票!”

“哪只股票?”我问道。

我这样一无所知的样子更加使他生气了,他继续吼着:“联合炉具。你把它怎么了?”

“没怎么呀,我肯定什么都没做,出什么问题了?”我问。

他直勾勾地瞪了我足足五秒钟,然后大叫:“你瞧瞧股价!瞧瞧!”他真的特别气愤。

我站起来看了看股价,然后说:“现在股价是31又1/4美元。”

“没错!31又1/4美元,而我手里有一大把。”

“你有6万股,我清楚。这笔股票在你手中时间不短了,因为你当时买进格瑞炉具的时候……”

他不等我说下去就打断了我的话,他说:“但是我后来又买了很多,有的是按照40美元高价买的,现在还在我手里!”

他怒火中烧地看着我,我说:“我又没让你买。”

“什么?”

“我没让你买那么多。”

“我的意思不是说你让我买的,可是你准备要拉抬股价……”

“我为什么要这样做?”我打断了他的话。

他气得一言不发,直盯着我,半天才开口说:“原来你是要抬高股价的,你有钱买。”

“没错啊,可是我没有买。”我对他说。这像是我最后亮出的撒手锏。

“你没买?你拿着400多万美金可以用,但是你没有买?”

“连一股都没买。”我重复道。

此时,他已经气得说不出话来了,良久才说道:“你这玩的是什么把戏?”

还不知他心里面怎么恶毒地骂我呢。从他的眼神中,我看到了他给我定的一连串罪责。我对他说:“伍尔夫,你想问的是,我为什么没用50美元以上的价格买你手里那些40美元以下买进的股票吧?”

“不,不是。你有40美元吸进的选择权,而且又有400万现金可以用来抬高股价。”

“没错,可是我并没有用这些钱,而且我也没有让这个团队赔一美元。”

“你听我说,利文斯顿……”他说。

不过我堵住了他要说的话。

“你听我说,伍尔夫。我清楚你和戈登、甘恩一共有20万股套在里面了,而且知道我如果拉抬股价的话,肯定没多少股票冲进股市,但我必须要这么做,因为一方面得为这只股票搭建出市场来,其次要利用40美元的选择权赚钱。可你要么是因为对自己手里拿了好几个月的6万股只卖到40美元非常不满意,要么是因为对小团队分给你的利润不满意,因此你在40美元以下的时候买进了很多股票,想在我用团队的那笔钱拉抬的时候再倒给我,你认定了我会这样。你想在我买之前自己先买进,而且在我卖出之前自己先卖出,总之你把我当作你倒卖股票的对象。我想你肯定觉得我能把股价拉抬到60美元。事情很清晰,你可能买进了1万股,就是为了再倒出。我如果不背黑锅的话,你为了确保有人背黑锅,就向美国、加拿大和墨西哥的所有股民透露内幕消息,根本不考虑为我增加了多少困难。你所有的朋友都知道我该怎么做,在我和他们买进的时候,你幸灾乐祸。哼,你把内幕透露给朋友,他们买进股票的时候,再把消息一传十、十传百地传播给更多的笨蛋,这么一来,等我最终要卖的时候,会发现自己面对的是好几千个聪明的投机分子。伍尔夫,这可真是个好心的主意啊。在我还没想到要买的时候,联合炉具就开涨了,你知道我有多吃惊,我有多感激,竟然以40美元的价位替大家把10万股卖给了那些想着等涨到五六十美元再倒卖出去的人。我没用那400万为团队谋利润,特别傻吧?那是我可以用到股票买进上的钱,可我要在自认为该买的时候买。嗯,而我觉得没必要去买进。”

伍尔夫在华尔街上混了好多年,不会让愤怒的情绪妨碍正事。在我说话的时候,他逐渐心平气和了。等我说完,他就比较友好地说:“你听我说,拉里,我的朋友,那我们该怎么办呢?”

“你们爱怎么办就怎么办。”

“呵呵,拿出点儿风度啊。你如果是我,你会怎么办?”

“我如果是你,”我认真地说道,“你想知道吗?”

“怎么办?”

“我会全部卖掉!”我回答道。

他盯着我好一会儿,一句话也没说,转身离开了办公室,这之后没再来过。

事后不久,参议员戈登也来找过我,抱怨是我让他们身处困境。最后,甘恩也跟着起哄。他们忘了在组建团队时,他们手中的股票一点儿都没法大把卖出去。他们只记得我手里握着几百万现金,而在市场比较活泛,股价涨到44美元的时候,没有为他们卖出。此时股价下跌到了30美元,像一潭绝望的死水。在他们看来,我就该为他们卖出股票,该为他们赚很多的钱。

过了一段时间,他们都逐渐心平气和了。这个小团队没有赔钱,仍然面临着需要卖掉大量股票的问题。过了一两天,他们找我帮他们解决困难,戈登尤其坚持。最后,我让他们把共同的股票锁在25又1/2美元上。我为他们效劳,酬金是按照这个价格卖出股票后一半的利润。这只股票最终报价在30美元左右,我又要为他们卖出股票了。在考虑整体股市行情,特别是联合炉具股票情况的前提下,只有一个办法能够卖出它,那就是一路往下卖,而且不能提前去做拉抬股价的事。我敢肯定,如果想着为了卖个比较好的价格而一路抬高,那肯定能收到很多股票,可是如果压低了价格卖,我可以找到人买。他们总觉得,只要在高点上下跌了15或20个点,就变得很便宜了,特别是从近期出现的高点上下跌,他们就会认为股价马上就要反弹。之前联合炉具涨到了44美元,如今跌到30美元以下了,就觉得必定是非常便宜的好股票。

这样卖,就与原先一样,非常顺利地实现了目标。那些捡便宜的人买了很多,使得我能够卖完小团队的持股。只是,你觉得戈登、伍尔夫和甘恩会感谢我吗?不可能的。他们还是对我充满了抱怨,反正他们的朋友是这么对我说的。他们常常对别人说,我是怎样收拾他们的。他们对我没拉抬股价以达成他们的心愿一直心存芥蒂。

其实,伍尔夫和其他人如果在当时不传播那些热热乎乎的内幕消息的话,我肯定是没办法卖掉10万股的。如果按照我一向的那种做法,也就是合理而自然地去操作,我就要让自己接受能卖的一切价格。我对你讲过,市场已经处于空头状态,有这样的前提,要卖出股票,不一定非要孤注一掷地做,可一定不能在价格上计较。除此之外别无他法,不过我觉得他们可能不相信我的这个观点。他们三人还是对我气呼呼的,而我却很平和。发怒不是什么好事。我经历过的那些不止一次的教训使我明白,爱生气的投机分子是没什么前途的。在这件事情上,他们生气并没为我留下什么后续的麻烦。可我要对你说的是,发生了一件奇怪的事情。有一天,我妻子去了一个经人推荐的女裁缝师那里。她是一个水平很高的裁缝,性格非常好,服务态度也不差。这是我妻子第三或第四次去,裁缝跟我妻子已经比较熟悉了。裁缝对她说:“我希望利文斯顿先生能够把联合炉具的股价拉抬起来,我们手里握着一些它们的股票,因为有人对我们说他要拉抬这只股票,我们向来就听说他经手的所有股票交易都非常成功。”

我对你讲,一想到那些无辜的人们因为听了那些所谓的内幕消息而损失了钱财,我就很不愉快。或许,如今你会明白,我为什么从来不对人说什么内幕消息。女裁缝的话让我感觉到,要说怨气,该由我对伍尔夫来发才对。

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